Option Focus | Microsoft's Double-Buy Call Spread at $585 Strike Signals Bullish Bet on Upside Through 2026, But Trade Size Remains Modest

Option Witch
Yesterday

Microsoft closed at $493.95, down 1.15%.

The large-trade tape showed a distinctive options structure in MSFT: a September 2026 double-buy call position at the $585 strike, executed for a net debit of $10,500.00. The flow was entirely bullish, with no offsetting bearish block activity, suggesting institutional-sized interest leaned toward upside participation rather than hedging or income collection.

>>>Start OPTIONS trading & earn up to SGD 200 in rewards!

Options Indicators

MSFT’s implied volatility is 27.57%, and with an IV percentile of 35.46%, current option volatility sits in a broadly neutral range rather than at an extreme. At the same time, the IV/HV ratio of 1.20 shows implied volatility is running somewhat above realized volatility, suggesting options carry a modest premium, but not to a degree that would make them look especially stretched or unusually cheap.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.59.

Large Trades

A CALL spread opened for a net debit of $10,500.00 was the standout large trade, consisting of a same-direction double-buy CALL combination in the September 18, 2026 expiration at the 585.0 strike. With both legs being bought calls rather than a buy-versus-sell structure, this is best read as a directional premium-paying options position rather than a synthetic. Given the strike sits well above the current stock reference price of $493.95, the calls were out-of-the-money, indicating the trader was positioning for a sizable upside move and was willing to spend premium upfront to express that view. The net debit framing suggests a clear directional bet with defined risk, and the repeated accumulation at the same strike reinforces the expectation of meaningful bullish volatility rather than a defensive hedge.

Overall, the large-trade flow points to a bullish bias in MSFT. The activity was entirely concentrated in out-of-the-money call buying, with no offsetting bearish block flow appearing in the large-trade summary, which indicates that institutional-sized interest was skewed toward upside participation. Taken together, the figures suggest traders were positioning for higher prices over time and were using premium-paid call exposure to target a potentially strong advance rather than to harvest income or protect existing downside risk.

Strategy Reference

For a low-assignment-probability short premium setup, a seller could consider the October 2025 450-strike put, which sits roughly 8.9% below spot and generally carries a delta below 0.20; alternatively, a bull call spread such as buying the September 2026 585 call and selling the 615 call would reduce net debit and margin requirements versus an outright long call.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10