Treasury's $6B Buyback Fails to Curb Yields as BTC Dips Toward $78K

Stock News
5 hours ago

A $6 billion Treasury repurchase operation, aimed at calming bond market turbulence, has backfired as investors sold into the move, pushing yields higher rather than lower.

According to data compiled by Woofun AI, the operation was roughly three times the standard size and marked the largest such intervention in years. However, analysts note it merely involved the Treasury issuing short-term IOUs to fund purchases of less-liquid older bonds from dealers. It neither addresses the $40 trillion national debt nor constitutes central bank quantitative easing.

Mark Spindel, chief investment officer at Potomac River Capital, highlighted a stark contrast with the 2008 crisis response, when Hank Paulson wielded congressionally-backed firepower. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in this case, lacks similar legislative support, Spindel said.

Data from Woofun AI suggests that, because the mechanism relies purely on cash swaps, the scale of the operation becomes the critical variable shaping market confidence. On August 19, Bessent pledged to at least double the standard $2 billion repurchase size. Traders had priced in a range of $8 billion to $10 billion, so the actual $6 billion figure was widely perceived as underwhelming.

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.84%, while the 30-year yield rose 5 basis points to 5.307%, recrossing a key threshold. A basis point equals 0.01 percentage point.

Hard assets showed divergent moves. Gold hovered near $4,407 per ounce, while Bitcoin (BTC) initially dipped toward $78,000 as yields spiked, before recovering to $79,084. This contrasts sharply with the previous similar announcement three weeks ago, which lifted both assets.

Washington's attempt to buy its own debt to lower financing costs has proven counterproductive. Long-dated bonds have just emerged from their worst decade since 1803, and Dan Morehead of Pantera Capital had previously warned the program would be ineffective. Stanley Druckenmiller, who once mentored Bessent, has said governments cannot defend prices against fundamentals. Thursday's repurchase window lasted just 20 minutes, closing at 2 p.m. ET. Should the $60 billion be fully deployed while yields continue their ascent, that assertion would be validated.

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