Option Focus | IREN's $4.55 Million Double-Long Put Bet Targets $35 by 2027, While $1.25 Million Bull Call Spread Signals Cautiously Bullish Long-Term View

Option Witch
8 hours ago

IREN Ltd closed at USD 43.64, down 3.81%. The options market displayed notable activity with a substantial $4.55 million double-long put combination targeting the $35.00 strike across two 2026 and 2027 expirations, while a $1.25 million bull call spread using June 2027 $65.00/$80.00 strikes signaled a more moderately bullish long-term posture. The large-trade flow overall leans cautiously bullish, though the aggressive put buying highlights meaningful demand for downside protection or a bearish volatility wager.

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Options Indicators

IREN’s implied volatility is 87.37%, while its IV percentile stands at just 2.39%, indicating that although absolute volatility remains high, current option pricing is still sitting near the low end of its own historical range. With the IV/HV ratio at 1.04, implied volatility is only slightly above realized volatility, suggesting options are fairly aligned with recent underlying movement rather than carrying a large premium. Taken together, this points to a relatively cheap volatility backdrop for IREN options compared with their usual pricing history. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.52.

Large Trades

A bull call spread with a net debit of $1.25 million was the standout bullish structure, built by buying 5,500 June 17, 2027 $65.00 calls and selling 5,500 June 17, 2027 $80.00 calls. With the stock reference price at $43.64, both call strikes are out of the money, making this a forward-looking upside bet rather than an in-the-money replacement stock position. The structure caps upside at the short $80.00 strike but materially reduces entry cost versus an outright long call, which points to a defined-risk, moderately bullish view that IREN can appreciate meaningfully over the long term while keeping premium outlay controlled.

A same-direction double-long put combination with a net debit of $4.55 million was the largest premium outlay among the displayed trades, consisting of purchases of 5,000 March 19, 2027 $35.00 puts and 5,000 December 18, 2026 $35.00 puts. With the shares at $43.64, both puts are out of the money, so this is not immediate downside protection around an already breached level, but a paid-for bearish volatility wager targeting a sizeable decline toward or below $35.00 across two maturities. The use of two expirations suggests the trader wanted sustained downside exposure over time rather than a single-event hedge, and because both legs are bought puts, the position reflects willingness to spend substantial premium for convex downside participation.

Overall, the large-trade flow leans bullish on balance, but with an important cautionary undertone. The net tone is supported by the bullish call spread and the aggregate premium skew, suggesting some participants still expect upside over the longer horizon; however, the most aggressive displayed premium outlay was directed into long puts, showing that meaningful capital is also positioning for a sharp downside move or elevated volatility. Taken together, the block activity indicates a cautiously bullish market stance on IREN, with investors still demanding significant downside exposure as a hedge or as a parallel directional bet against the stock.

Strategy Reference

For traders seeking to harvest premium in a low IV percentile environment, selling a far out-of-the-money put spread such as the June 2027 $25.00/$20.00 put vertical could capture credit while keeping assignment probability low relative to the displayed $35.00 long puts.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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