Further ECB Hikes Beyond Thursday Would be Deliberately Restrictive

Dow Jones
Sep 08

1329 GMT - Additional European Central Bank rate hikes following an expected increase this week would mean a deliberate move into restrictive territory, Vontobel's Gregor Kapferer says in a note. A deposit rate of 2.50%, where markets expect it to sit following a 25 basis-point hike on Thursday, is generally viewed as the upper limit of a neutral range, Kapferer says. Further hikes to combat the energy-supply shock, over which monetary policy has no influence, would therefore mean policy was having a restrictive impact on the economy, Kapferer says. "Our baseline scenario therefore remains that there will be no further rate hikes [beyond September], barring a renewed acceleration in core inflation or wage inflation," the head of developed markets debt says.

 

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10